HomeMy WebLinkAbout6/4/2014 - STAFF REPORTS - 5.A. N LM sp9
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c'`'F°"`'�P CITY COUNCIL STAFF REPORT
DATE: June 4, 2014 NEW BUSINESS
SUBJECT: SOLAR FEASIBILITY — PRESENTATION AND DISCUSSION
FROM: David H. Ready, City Manager
BY: Special Projects Coordinator
SUMMARY
The City Council will receive a presentation from Newcomb/Andersen/McCormick
regarding solar alternatives for City facilities for consideration by the City Council.
RECOMMENDATION:
Direct staff as appropriate.
STAFF ANALYSIS:
The City hired Newcomb/Andersen/McCormick (NAM) to take a second look at the
feasibility of installing Photo Voltaic (PV) Solar on many of the City facilities. More
specifically NAM was to review the option of taking advantage of a seldom utilized SCE
program (RES-BCT) that would allow the City to build a large PV array and have the
power distributed to other facilities via bill credit and debit. (Copy of the report on file in
the office of the City Clerk)
The California solar regulatory environment is constantly in a state of flux and as such
the report goes into great detail on the current environment and programs that exist that
the City could avail itself of. The one program that was of specific interest to the City
was the RES-BCT self-generation bill-credit transfer program. This tariff program on the
surface looks quite promising until one realizes that the credit transfer portion of the
tariff only allows for offset of the "generation component charges" it does not allow for
demand charges to be offset, thus the financial benefit is greatly reduced and in the
instance of the City's facilities it does not pencil out. Any project that the City were to
undertake will qualify for the California Solar Initiative Incentive Program, which is more
thoroughly described in the study document. The most promising current SCE tariff
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City Council Staff Report
June 4, 2014- Page 2
NAM Solar Feasibility Study
program is the Net Energy Metering (NEM) program which gives credit to customers for
excess energy that is produced.
The study document details how NAM goes about conducting a feasibility study,
including all the parameters and assumptions that they utilize; all being very
conservative. NAM reviewed numerous City sites for possible solar installations and
narrowed down the possibilities to eleven (11) specific sites. Each site was modeled
and evaluated based on three approaches to financing for the projects: 1) Cash
Purchase, 2) Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) (Third Party Financing), or 3) Simple
Loan (Bond Financing).
The study recommends that the City consider bidding all eleven sites under both a
financing and PPA approach in an attempt to drive down the overall price with
competition. Staff believes that the study provides an excellent base for a decision
making process to follow and the data provided will be invaluable in developing and
evaluating any future RFP process that might occur.
The decision making process must include discussions of such items as roof mounted
vs carport mounted systems; what a carport might look like; what about the need to
remove trees; as well as discussions on the use of currently owned City acreage for a
ground mounted system. Once these policy type decisions are made the list of sites
can be narrowed and an RFP process can be developed.
The study clearly indicates that a ground mounted system at the Animal Shelter would
be a good investment as would the possibility of a ground mounted system for the
Wastewater Treatment Plant if acreage could be utilized for this purpose. The
Convention Center parking lot with carports is also a good possibility, however, the
location of the permanent parking for the Convention Center is in a state of flux
currently. The other sites, as stand-alone sites, are not as viable.
FISCAL IMPACT:
The NAM report reveals that the best results are achieved if the City were able to
purchase the systems with cash. The analysis reveals that the 25 year net benefit of the
financing and the PPA approaches are essentially the same.
AIAX-
Allen Smoot, Special Projects Coordinator
David H. Ready, City er
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Agenda
• Background
• Analysis Methodology
& Assumptions
• Results
• Next Steps -
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• Investigation of solar across 11 sites
❖ Downtown Parking Structure ❖ Demuth Park
❖ Fire Station #1 ❖ Fire Station #2
❖ Jaycee Frey ❖ Tahquitz Creek Golf Course
❖ Demuth Community Center ❖ Convention Center
❖ Sunrise Plaza ❖ Wastewater Treatment Plant
❖ Animal Shelter
• Procurement Strategies: PPA vs. Direct Purchase
• Interconnection Strategies: NEM, NEMA, or RES- BCT
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Analysis Methodology
• Review of energy use across City facilities
• Use of aerial imagery to determine best locations for solar
arrays
• Review of current and developing legal, regulatory, and
program rules
• Development of three scenarios for analysis
• Estimation of energy project costs and savings over the
project lifecycle
• Project Management and contingency incorporated into costs
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Newcomb I Ando r son,McCormick
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Critical Financial Analysis Assumptions
• The price of energy purchased from SCE and annual escalation rate.-
The analysis considers an annual escalation rate of 4.5%.
• The amount of energy consumed and the profile of that consumption:
The models assume the load pattern observed so far is a good indication of future
load patterns.
• The cost of the solar system:
Considering recent procurement experience at other public institutions, we use
conservative estimate for system cost assumptions:
— $4.00 per Watt dc, which includes O&M, inverter replacement, and performance
guarantees
— $0.125 per kilo-Watt hour, for Power Purchase Agreements
— $3.25 per Watt dc, for centralized installations
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Results
• Of the 11 sites investigated:
— Solar at two sites were estimated to create bill savings of over $7 million
over a 25 year timeline for each site (Convention Center & Waste Water
Plant)
— Solar at two sites were estimated to create bill savings of over $2 million
over a 25 year timeline for each site (Animal Shelter & Sunrise Plaza)
— Solar at four of the sites produce marginal benefits with conservative cost
estimates
• Net Benefit for entire portfolio is over $2 million over a 25 year
timeline
— Net Benefit includes all costs: Construction, Performance Guarantee,
Operation & Maintenance, Project Management, Simple Financing, etc.
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Recommendation
• Distributed NEM provides the highest value to the City
— Both PPA and Purchase scenarios are viable
• RES- BCT scenario less viable
• Determine City's aesthetic requirement
— Carports in parking lots
— Visible roof systems
• Move forward with competitive bids
— Capture both PPA and Purchase pricing
— Ensure Performance Guarantee, Warranties, and Operation &
Maintenance of system are in place
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Next Steps
• Develop and issue an RFP to the vendor community
— Provide site details
— Outline contractual obligations
— Produce refined system layouts
— Finalize system costs
— Identify the best value solar vendor
• Secure project financing if proceeding with direct purchase
scenario
• Contract Negotiations
• Construction Period Services
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Reference: L-ilkely Benefits
25 Yr Utility CSI 25 Yr Net
Site System Type Total Costs
Bill Savings Incentive Benefit
Downtown Parking Structure Shade Structure $616,388 ($528,484) $56,000 $143,903
Demuth Park Shade Structure $265,197 ($276,126) $24,889 $13,960
Fire Station1* Shade Structure $306,465 ($404,327) $36,444 ($61,418)
Fire Station 4 Ground Mount and/or Roof Mount $298,155 ($296,266) $35,555 $37,445
Jaycee Frey Roof Mount $68,808 ($68,008) $5,333 $6,134
Tahquitz Creek Golf Course* Shade Structure and/or Roof Mount $516,748 ($631,145) $56,889 ($57,508)
Demuth Community Center* Roof Mount and/or Shade Structure $334,692 ($394,266) $41,778 ($17,796)
Animal Shelter Ground Mount $2,317,801 ($2,109,271) $271,110 $479,639
Convention Center-Roof Roof Mount $3,668,511 ($3,790,868) $426,665 $304,307
Convention Center-Carport Shade Structure $3,976,734 ($4,320,150) $457,776 $114,359
Sunrise Plaza Roof and/or Shade Structure $2,653,287 ($2,724,686) $306,665 $235,266
Wastewater Treatment Plant-Fixed Ground Mount $8,274,607 ($8,471,663) $1,157,231 $960,175
TOTAL $23,297,393 1 ($24,015,260)1$2,876,334 1 $2,158,467
Selective TOTAL* $22,139,487 1 (522,585,522)1$2,741,223 1 $2,295,199
*Marginal sites removed
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Reference: Svstem Information
Potential System Year One Estimated Year One Estimate Solar
Site System Type Percent Offset
Size (kW DC) Energy Usage (kWh) Generation(kWh)
Downtown Parking Structure Shade Structure 63 133,495 100,230 75%
Demuth Park Shade Structure 28 59,795 44,547 74%
Fi re Station Shade Structure 41 86,475 65,229 75%
Fire Station 4 Ground Mount and/or Roof Mount 40 83,581 63,638 76%
Jaycee Frey Roof Mount 6 12,603 9,546 76%
Tahquitz Creek Golf Course Shade Structure and/or Roof Mount 64 134,898 101,821 75%
Demuth Community Center Roof Mount and/or Shade Structure 47 112,452 74,775 66%
Animal Shelter Ground Mount 305 646,102 485,239 75%
Convention Center(Roof) Roof Mount 480 1,113,998 763,656 69%
Convention Center(Lot) Shade Structure 515 1,091,374 819,339 75%
Sunrise Plaza Roof and/or Shade Structure 345 2,773,670 2,071,242 75%
Wastewater Treatment Plant Ground Mount 1225 2,773,670 2,068,234 75%
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Reference : Scenario Comparison
Scenario Total Life 25 Year Net 25 Year Payback
Cycle Cost Benefit NPV Period
NEM Purchase ($13,739,918) $12,433,809 $4,705,714 14
NEMSimple Loan ($24,015,260) $2,158,467 $1,358,369 Term
NEM PPA ($21,119,024) $2,178,369 $947,544 16
RES-BCT Purchase ($13,882,239) $6,062,458 $644,636 18
RES-BCT Simple Loan ($24,092,413) ($4,147,716) ($2,681,478) Term
RES-BCT PPA ($23,843,507) ($7,441,354) ($5,496,615)
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